Bupati Sambas Sebut TKI Pahlawan Devisa Tak Boleh Seperti Melayani Pembantu
In the table below, we’ve listed implied volatility
(IV) levels for major USD-pairs looking out over the next one-week and
one-month periods. Also noted are the differentials between the two, which can
help shape expectations and/or identify currency pairs where the options market
may be under or over-pricing potential price movement in the short-term.
Additionally, below are derived one-week range-low/high prices from the current
spot price within one-standard deviation. (Statistically speaking, there is a
68% probability price will remain within the lower and upper-thresholds.)
BACA JUGA : KISAH INSPIRATIF TKI SUKSES JADI PENGUSAHA
NZD/USD Volatility Expectations Highest, USD/CAD on
the Low-end
Short-term expectations for price movement has
dropped off significantly with a light economic calendar and holidays coming up
on Thursday in both the U.S. and Japan. While the FX market will remain open,
both of these major financial hubs will be mostly shut down for the day. This
will have an impact on liquidity and market activity.
The differentials between one-week and one-month
implied volatilities is negative across the board of major USD-pairs,
displaying the anticipated lack of volatility in the days ahead.
NZD/USD continues to consistently show the most
‘promise’ for volatility despite implied volatility declining in recent weeks,
while USD/CAD has declined to a level showing the smallest expectations.
NZD/USD one-week IV at 8.8% points to a one-standard
deviation range of 6747-6913. Kiwi remains one of the weakest USD-pairs, with
it recently trading down to its worst levels since early June. The next major
area of support arrives at a trend-line running off the 2009 low, which could
be in confluence with a swing-low from May of last year. In the coming days it
would likely require a catalyst to see long-term support touched, the one-week
projected low at 6747 doesn’t appear likely to be exceeded at this time. If an
attempt is going to be made on the top-side, a break through the trend-line off
the September high will need to be accomplished. Trend weakness suggests the
one-week high at 6913 is unlikely to be exceeded. A period of digestion may be
upon us.
Looking for real-time analysis and/or educational
webinars? Check out the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.
NZD/USD: Daily
NZD/USD Volatility Expectations Highest, USD/CAD on
the Low-end
USD/CAD one-week implied volatility sits at a low
5.96%, and project a range of 12659-12869. Price is currently grinding higher
on a trend-line off the September low. The fact the line is being hugged puts
it at risk of breaking, and should we see a close below trend support the
swing-low at 12666 along with the projected low will be put at risk of
breaking. If we see a sound break of the trend-line, volatility expectations
could prove to be too low. On the top-side the projected high roughly aligns
with the most recent swing-high and could keep any advance in check.
USD/CAD: Daily
NZD/USD Volatility Expectations Highest, USD/CAD on
the Low-end